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Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady—But What Comes Next?

Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rate Steady at 2.75% 🏦

Today, the Bank of Canada decided to keep its key interest rate at 2.75%. This means borrowing costs—like those for mortgages, loans, and credit—won’t change for now.

Why? There’s a lot of uncertainty in the air, especially due to shifting U.S. trade policies and unpredictable tariffs. These changes have made it harder to predict how the economy will perform, both in Canada and around the world.

The Bank of Canada looked at two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ In the first, trade tensions stay high, but tariffs are limited. Canada’s economy would slow a bit, but inflation (the rise in prices) would stay close to the Bank’s 2% target.
2️⃣ In the second, a full-blown trade war breaks out. This could push Canada into a recession and drive up inflation to over 3% by next year.

Because these changes are so unpredictable, it’s harder than usual for experts to know exactly how things will play out. But for now, the Bank is holding steady—and keeping a close eye on what comes next.

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So, the Ottawa housing market in March 2025? Pretty steady overall. Sales were a bit lower compared to last year, but things are picking up month by month now that spring’s rolling in.

Both buyers and sellers are still a little cautious—which makes sense with the economy being a bit unpredictable and an election on the horizon. But the good news? Lower interest rates are pulling more people back into the market. People are starting to make moves again.

Looking ahead though, there are still some concerns around trade and tariffs, especially when it comes to new construction. That could make the housing supply issue even trickier.

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February Real Estate Market Update – Big News for Buyers & Sellers!

More homes sold in February than in January! 809 homes sold last month compared to 617 in January—momentum is building as we head into spring!

Major news! The Bank of Canada just cut the key lending rate by 0.25% to 2.75%!

This is great news for buyers and sellers, as lower rates mean more affordability and stronger market activity.

More inventory, more options! With 1,668 new listings in February, buyers have more choices without an oversupply, keeping demand high for sellers. Some neighborhoods still have limited availability, making well-priced homes sell quickly!

Market Stats You Should Know:

  • 98.6% list-to-sale ratio (homes selling very close to asking price)

  • Median days on market: 19 days (still moving fast!)

  • More balanced market (60 days is considered fully balanced)

Spring Market Outlook: Expect an active market ahead, though some buyers and sellers may move cautiously due to the upcoming federal election and ongoing tariff uncertainties.

Thinking about buying or selling? Now is the time to take advantage of lower interest rates! Drop your questions below or DM me anytime!

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The January home resale numbers, although lower than they were for January 2024, are still very good. What matters most is that the market is good for home buyers and for home sellers.

For buyers, there were 1359 new home listings in January, which is a 3% increase compared to January 2024.Overall, at the end of January, there were 3312 homes available on MLS, a 57.3% increase compared to the end of January 2024. 

Based on the number of homes sold in January, if no more homes come on the market, there is 5.37 months of inventory, which means it would take that much time to sell all the currently available listings. Which is much better than the 2 to 3 months we saw during Covid. 

For sellers, the good news is that the median days on market (DOM) is 43, which means that midpoint for the time a home is listed, to the time that it is sold, is 43 days. A balanced market would have an average of 60 DOM's.  This shows that with a median of 43 days, some homes were up around 86 days, but many were less than the 43 days. 

The list to selling price ratio was an average of 98%. This is good for home sellers who price their home to the market. All said, with around 43 days to sell your home once it is listed and a selling price around 98% of the asking price, you are in a very good market. 

If you are looking to sell and buy, you also have more choice. 

🚨 The market is shifting! 🚨 Whether you're a buyer or seller, now might be the perfect time to make your move. 🏡📈 

💬 What do you think about the current market? Are you planning to buy or sell this year? Let’s chat! ⬇️👇

Drop me a note here!

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The final numbers for 2024 are now in!

 The number of homes sold in December 2024 was 7.9% higher than the number sold in December 2023.

 For the 2024 year, the total number of homes sold was 11.8% higher than for the 2023 year.

 There was also a 13.6% increase of homes listed in December 2024 compared to December 2023,

 This is a good sign for the market and for buyers, although, there is still a lack of inventory in some areas and price ranges.

 The consecutive interest rate reduction by the Bank of Canada, as well as the longer amortization periods and increase to the amounts of insured mortgages have helped buyers.

Here is a recap of Regulatory changes and updates:


1) Effective Dec 15 - the limit on insured mortgages increases to 1.5 million from 1M.

2) Amortization Period for all first-time homebuyers and buyers of new-build properties is extended to 30 years from 25.

3) Removal of Stress Test for Straight, Stand-Along Uninsured Renewal Switches. Insured and uninsured mortgages no longer need to be stress-tested for qualification purposes.

4) Insured Refinances Eligible homeowners can access an insured refinance of up to 90% of their improved property value for construction funds. This change encourages homeowners to add a secondary suite to their property. This can help accommodate families or generate rental income.

Want more information, or have a question, please let me know. I am happy to help!

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The home sales in November were stronger than they were for November 2023. In fact they were 45.1% higher. The average price of a home was up 4.6%. Please note that these numbers include all property types.

The Bank of Canada lowered the key interest rate by.50% to 3.25% this morning, For people with variable rate mortgages, rate cuts can mean more of their money goes toward the principal on their mortgage, and less towards interest. It can also help home buyers who opt for a variable rate mortgage and folks looking to refinance their mortgage. The impact on fixed rate mortgages won't be know for a while.

Adding in the following Regulatory Changes and Updates, should bode well for home buyers and sellers.

1) Effective Dec 15 - the limit on insured mortgages increases to 1.5 million from 1M.

2) Amortization Period for all first-time homebuyers and buyers of new-build properties is extended to 30 years from 25.

3) Removal of Stress Test for Straight, Stand-Along Uninsured Renewal Switches. Insured and uninsured mortgages no longer need to be stress-tested for qualification purposes.

4) Insured Refinances Eligible homeowners can access an insured refinance of up to 90% of their improved property value for construction funds. This change encourages homeowners to add a secondary suite to their property. This can help accommodate families or generate rental income.

Want more information, or have a question, please let me know. I am happy to help!

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2024 home sales have continued to outperform the number of sales by month in 2023.

The latest interest rate reduction of .50% has helped to generate more optimism, although in speaking with home buyers, they are waiting for further drops in the rates.

This can be an issue. The number of homes available is up over last year, but housing starts are still very low.

The current market is balanced and homes are selling on average around 98% of the list price.

If you are buying, get pre-approved now, find your home, and take a longer closing if possible, so if rates go down, you will get the lower rate. This way you avoid the possible issue of competing with more buyers if the rates go down again, and the number of available homes remain at today's levels, or less. This would create competition and drive home prices higher, negating any gain made by a lower interest rate.

Want more information, do not hesitate to ask! I am happy to help.

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The strong August market carried over into September. Home sales this September were 11.4% higher than they were in September 2023.


There is some speculation that the Bank of Canada, with their October 23rd policy decision, could lower the key lending rate a further .5%, with some economists saying that even if they do not go to that level, they believe that they will lower the rate by .25%.

If you are buying and aren’t pre-approved, get out now, get pre-approved, and find your house. You could face more competition for your dream home after the announcement, and then you may have to pay more than you would if you get out now!

Heading into October, the market was balanced, so no advantage to either buyers, or sellers. Homes sold for around 98% of the asking price in September. This could change, depending on what the Bank of Canada announces later this month.

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Based on the summer market, the outlook for the fall market is encouraging and it looks like we will be looking at a pretty active fall market!

The third consecutive interest rate drop is welcome news and it should help both buyers and sellers.

More homes are coming on the market compared to the same time last year.

Based on the number of days I have seen that it is taking for homes to sell, the increased selection has buyers taking more time to look and decide.

Want more information, do not hesitate to ask! I am happy to help.
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How Much Should You Budget for Home Maintenance?

If you own a car, you're probably aware that ownership costs extend beyond just loan payments and fuel. You also need to budget for maintenance and repairs, which can be more expensive for older vehicles. The same principle applies to your home. It's important to budget for expected repairs and maintenance to avoid surprises.

Experts suggest setting aside 1% of your home's value each year for maintenance. For instance, if your home is worth $500,000, you should budget $5,000 annually. This is a general guideline, and if your home is older, you might need to allocate more.

Another approach is to budget $1 per square foot. So, for a 2,500 square foot home, you should set aside $2,500. Again, this amount should be higher for older homes.

When planning your budget, consider items that might need replacing in the next three years, such as roof shingles, furnace, air conditioning unit, deck, fence, plumbing, and windows. For example, a new air conditioning unit can cost around $4,000, depending on the size, model and efficiency. Planning for such expenses can help you avoid unexpected financial stress.

Remember, budgeting for repairs and maintenance doesn’t mean you’ll spend that money every year. However, having the budget available provides peace of mind, knowing you're prepared for any necessary expenses.

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Is the Psychology of Change Holding You Back?
Psychologists say that maintaining the "status quo" is one of our strongest motivations. Even when things are just "okay," making a positive change can be challenging because our brains resist. 
 
If you've ever considered selling your current home to find your dream house, you might have felt this. Your current home and neighborhood might seem "good enough," making you hesitant to move, even if a better home would suit your family and lifestyle more. This also applies to buying your first home.
 
This is just how our psychology works.
 
To overcome this, try putting your dream on paper. Write down the type of home you'd love to move into, such as a detached home with three bedrooms in a family-friendly neighborhood. Include specific features you want, like a spacious backyard, a family-sized kitchen, and a convenient commute to work. Seeing these details on paper can help you visualize the possibilities.
 
Next, determine if this move is feasible right now. Avoid assumptions and get the facts. Speak with a Realtor and Mortgage Specialist. Find out how much your current property is worth and what it would cost to buy your dream home.
 
If you discover that moving is possible this year, your hesitation might disappear!
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The Benefits of Obtaining a Mortgage Pre-Approval 🏡💰

If you're considering buying a home in Ontario, one of the most crucial steps you can take early in the process is obtaining a mortgage pre-approval. A pre-approval offers several benefits that can help streamline your home-buying journey and provide you with a competitive edge in the housing market.

1. Understanding Your Budget

A mortgage pre-approval gives you a clear picture of how much you can afford to borrow. By providing your lender with financial documents such as income verification, credit history, and debt information, you’ll receive a specific loan amount that you qualify for. This helps you narrow down your home search to properties within your budget, saving you time and energy.

2. Increased Bargaining Power

Having a pre-approval letter shows sellers that you are a serious and qualified buyer. In competitive markets like Ontario, this can be a significant advantage. Sellers are more likely to consider offers from pre-approved buyers because it indicates financial readiness and reduces the risk of the deal falling through due to financing issues.

3. Locking in Interest Rates

Interest rates can fluctuate, and securing a pre-approval can lock in your rate for a set period (typically 60 to 120 days). This can protect you from potential rate increases while you search for your home. Knowing your interest rate in advance also allows you to budget more accurately for your monthly mortgage payments. In some cases, if the rates go down, you will get that lower rate.

4. Speeding Up the Closing Process

Since a large part of the mortgage application process is completed during pre-approval, the time required to finalize the loan once you’ve found a home is significantly reduced. This can make the closing process faster and smoother, which is appealing to sellers looking for a quick sale.

5. Highlighting Financial Issues Early

During the pre-approval process, lenders thoroughly review your financial situation. If there are any issues with your credit score, debt levels, or income that could impact your ability to secure a mortgage, you will find out early. This allows you to address these issues before you start house hunting, improving your chances of final approval.

6. Providing Peace of Mind

Knowing that you are pre-approved for a mortgage provides peace of mind. It allows you to focus on finding the perfect home without worrying whether you’ll be able to secure the necessary financing. This assurance can make the home-buying experience less stressful and more enjoyable.

Steps to Obtain a Mortgage Pre-Approval

To obtain a mortgage pre-approval in Ontario, follow these steps:

  1. Gather Your Financial Documents : Collect proof of income (pay stubs, tax returns), credit history, identification, and details of your assets and liabilities.
  2. Choose a Lender : Research and choose a lender or mortgage broker who offers competitive rates and terms.
  3. Complete the Application : Fill out the pre-approval application and submit your financial documents.
  4. Await Approval ✅: The lender will review your application and documents, and if everything is in order, they will issue a pre-approval letter stating the loan amount you qualify for.
Conclusion

Obtaining a mortgage pre-approval is a strategic step that offers numerous benefits for home buyers in Ontario. It not only helps you understand your budget and strengthens your offer but also locks in your interest rate, speeds up the closing process, and identifies potential financial issues early on. By taking this step, you position yourself as a serious and prepared buyer, ready to navigate the competitive Ontario housing market with confidence.

For more information on mortgage pre-approvals, visit the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) or consult with your preferred lender.

If you do not have a preferred mortgage specialist, please let me know. I am happy to provide a few specialists. 

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