Despite ongoing economic uncertainty across the country, Ottawa’s real estate market continues to show remarkable resilience. As we moved through October, the capital experienced a steady, seasonal shift marked by healthier sales activity and stabilizing inventory levels—clear signs that Ottawa remains one of the most balanced and dependable markets in Canada.

Sales Activity: A Seasonal Boost, but Still Measured

In October, 1,177 homes were sold, an increase of 8.1% from September’s 1,089 transactions. Although this represents a slight 1.2% dip year over year, the month-over-month improvement reflects the typical fall momentum the region sees before heading into winter’s slower pace.

Prices Hold Strong as Demand Remains Solid

The average sale price in Ottawa climbed to $709,002, marking a 2.7% increase from September and a 5.7% rise compared to October 2024. This upward movement indicates that underlying demand remains healthy, even as buyers proceed with caution.

Inventory Levels Begin to Ease

Ottawa saw 2,405 new listings in October, a notable 15.1% decline from September 2025, though still 13.4% higher year over year. This seasonal drop is consistent with long-term market patterns.

More importantly, active listings decreased from 4,388 in September to 4,232 in October—a 3.6% reduction. While supply remains higher than in the previous few years, this fall decline suggests that inventory levels may be starting to stabilize within a balanced range.

The months of inventory metric eased from 4.0 to 3.6, indicating a modest tightening between supply and demand as the fall market settled.

Interest Rate Cuts Offer a Glimmer of Optimism

On October 29, 2025, the Bank of Canada issued its second consecutive rate cut, lowering the policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%. This move provides welcome relief to borrowers and may help fuel activity heading into the spring market.

However, the Bank signaled that this would likely be the final cut in the current cycle—meaning buyers and sellers are still navigating a cautious financial landscape.

Local Factors to Watch

The Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) continues to monitor the federal budget and workforce announcements closely. Given Ottawa’s large federal employment base, shifts in government spending or staffing often influence the local market.

A Balanced, Healthy Market Heading Into Year-End

Overall, Ottawa’s housing market remains stable, balanced, and fundamentally healthy. With steady prices, manageable inventory, and modestly improving demand, the city is entering the winter season on solid footing.

OREB President Paul Czan summarizes it well:

“Ottawa’s market continues to demonstrate balance and resilience. We’re seeing modest growth in sales activity, stable pricing, and a seasonal easing of elevated inventory levels. The recent rate adjustments provide optimism for the coming months, but economic uncertainty looms, and buyers and sellers remain cautious. The current environment points to a steady market rather than a rapid shift in either direction.”

As Ottawa moves toward the end of the year, the market appears poised for continued stability—making it a strong environment for both buyers and sellers who are prepared and informed.

Source: Ottawa Real Estate Board

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