Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady—But What Comes Next?

Bank of Canada Holds Interest Rate Steady at 2.75% 🏦

Today, the Bank of Canada decided to keep its key interest rate at 2.75%. This means borrowing costs—like those for mortgages, loans, and credit—won’t change for now.

Why? There’s a lot of uncertainty in the air, especially due to shifting U.S. trade policies and unpredictable tariffs. These changes have made it harder to predict how the economy will perform, both in Canada and around the world.

The Bank of Canada looked at two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ In the first, trade tensions stay high, but tariffs are limited. Canada’s economy would slow a bit, but inflation (the rise in prices) would stay close to the Bank’s 2% target.
2️⃣ In the second, a full-blown trade war breaks out. This could push Canada into a recession and drive up inflation to over 3% by next year.

Because these changes are so unpredictable, it’s harder than usual for experts to know exactly how things will play out. But for now, the Bank is holding steady—and keeping a close eye on what comes next.